EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.The U.S. Treasury Department announced that it would allocate 20 billion U.S. dollars in loans to Ukraine. On December 10, local time, the U.S. Treasury Department said that it had allocated 20 billion U.S. dollars out of the total 50 billion U.S. dollars in loans provided to Ukraine by the Group of Seven to an intermediary fund of the World Bank to provide economic and financial assistance to Ukraine. It is reported that this grant will be completed before the US President-elect Trump takes office in January to protect this fund from being recovered by the Trump administration. The $50 billion loan will be repaid with the interest income of about $300 billion of frozen sovereign assets in Russia, and the loan period is 30 years. (CCTV)CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.
The commander of the Syrian rebels said that his troops had completely taken control of the Syrian city of Deir ez-Zor.The belief of high dividend has made a comeback. The dividend-themed ETF "gained weight". Recently, the dividend-themed ETF "gained good news frequently". The fund size of Huatai Bairui Dividend ETF and Huatai Bairui Dividend Low Wave ETF, the two largest dividend theme ETFs in the whole market, exceeded the 20 billion yuan and 10 billion yuan mark respectively. Huatai Berry dividend ETF has become the first dividend-themed ETF with a scale of 20 billion in the whole market. In recent years, dividend assets have attracted market attention, and the scale of dividend-themed ETF funds has doubled this year, and it has now exceeded 84 billion yuan. The institution believes that non-bank finance, real estate chain and domestic demand expansion related sectors are expected to have relative returns in the near future, and the investment sentiment in pro-cyclical sectors at the end of the year may improve, the market style may be more balanced, and dividend assets still have the value of bottom allocation. (china securities journal)Non-performing loan intermediaries have drawn a clear line between banks to prevent "endorsement". Recently, many banks have issued statements to "clear the relationship" with loan intermediaries. On December 9 alone, many banks, such as Taiyuan Rural Commercial Bank, Chifeng Yuanbaoshan Rural Commercial Bank and Xintian Rural Bank of Xinjiang County, issued statements that they had not cooperated with any intermediary in loan business. The insiders believe that at present, when banks are preparing for a "good start" in the coming year, some banks' grass-roots institutions or account managers privately increase cooperation with loan intermediaries in order to achieve performance indicators. Formal loan intermediaries help banks get customers and live customers, but non-performing loan intermediaries are mixed in the market, and their non-compliance practices make consumer complaints frequent and bring reputation risks to banks. (CSI)
Argentine President Millai: Argentina's economy will grow in 2025 and inflation will decline.White House: We hope that Austin Otis, an American kidnapped in Syria, is still alive. We are talking with the Turkish side and other parties to get more information.A new generation of quantum chips has achieved a breakthrough in error correction capability. According to a paper published in Nature magazine on the 10th, Google's latest generation of quantum chips has achieved a breakthrough in error correction capability, that is, the error is suppressed below a critical threshold. This quantum error correction function is considered as a necessary condition to realize the practical application of quantum computing in the future. After the performance of the chip is expanded, it may be able to promote the operation requirements of large-scale fault-tolerant quantum computing. (Science and Technology Daily)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14